💡8 - 12 February 2021
📈 FTSE 100: 6,589.79 ( +0.83%)
📈 FTSEMIB: 23,410.60 ( +0.32%)
📈 DAX: 14,049.89 ( - 0.84%)
📈 S&P 500: 3,934.83 ( +0.78%)
📈 Nasdaq 100: 13,807.70 ( +1.10%)
📈 Dow Jones: 31,458.40 ( +0.43%)
The percentage increases are on a weekly basis
FTSE 100 (#UKX)
The #UKX had a modest week up +0.83%,where it moved sideways for the majority of the week then strong oil prices brought the index to outperform its European peers.
The Index is recovering from the fall of the beginning of February and it is now at a crucial point as it closed just below the 50MA.
From a technical perspective, the MACD is signalling potential recover and uptrend. In addition, the RSI, currently at 50, has still potential to the upside.
The 50MA is indeed relevant for the week ahead because it seats on the downward trend line that it has been taking place since January 2021.
For the week ahead, if the #UKX managed to seat above the 50MA we would then be in favour of a move to the upside till at least 6,660.
On the contrary, if the Index gets rejected from the 50MA further moves to the upside are possible together with a retest of resistance level.
Support at 6,618 and resistance at 6,462.
FTSE MIB (#FTSEMIB)
The #FTSEMIB, like majority of the markets, had a modest week up +0.32%. The Italian index is taking a pause after the strong performances of the last weeks and it has been now trading sideways.
From a technical perspective, the Index is not sitting at resistance level without clear direction. Looking at the MACD the Index is gradually loosing its steam, together with an RSI that is reporting strong divergence between current and November 2020 levels.
Therefore, based on the indicators we are more in favour to a move to the downside and a reconciliation with the 9MA.
At present, it is still not possible to understand if the #FTSEMIB is forming either a parallel or a upward channel. The moves of the coming week should clear the path for the next moves.
We confirm for the week ahead, support at 21,411 and resistance at 23,282.
The #DAX closed the week lower - 0.84%, retracing slightly from the high of early February. As highlighted last week, the German index managed to retrace to 13,900 before bouncing back.
From a technical perspective, the 50MA keeps moving up making the current support a strong level to eventually break.
The RSI is reporting a slightly divergence with the price, however should not worried our readers at present.
For the week ahead, given the strong bullish candle of Friday, together with proximity to the 9MA the #DAX might been on a good path to the upside to at least 14,183: a possible break of current resistance level is therefore possible.
However a decrease in current volumes together with the announced extension of the lockdown might negatively influence the #DAX for the week ahead.
Support at 13,756 and resistance at 14,127
S&P 500 (#SPX)
The #SPX had a positive week up +0.78% where, despite a sideways move, it managed to reach a new all time high on Friday.
From a technical perspective, the strong volumes reported on Friday together with a RSI pointing to the upside leading us to think that the Index may continue to go higher.
At the same time, it is important to notice the RSI: looking at recent moves, at this level had always retraced slightly before continue to move higher.
For the coming week, if the Index starts to move lower we would target the 3,900 as a possible intermediate resistance.
On the other side, if the #SPX managed to break current resistance level, we will indicate 4,000 as next target.
Support at 3,871 and resistance at 3,942.
NASDAQ 100 (#NDX)
The #NDX, among the indexes we cover, had the strongest week up +1.10%: positive earnings from the tech industry pushed the Nasdaq to all time market high.
From a technical perspective, the #NDX is respecting the upward channel has been put in place since November 2020: every time the index has reached the upper end of the channel has retraced till the intermediate level before keep moving forward.
The momentum, as indicated by MACD, is strongly to the upside. However, the RSI is reporting a light divergence with the price that might be in favour of very short moves to the downside before keep moving higher.
For the coming week, following the previous pattern we might see the #NDX retrace till 13,600 before eventually keep moving higher: at this level seats also the 9MA.
A fall below current support, would indicate 13,400 as next target.
At the same time, a positive momentum to the upside could push the #NDX to 14,000
Support at 13,600 and resistance at 14,000
Dow Jones (#DJI)
The #DJI had a positive week up +0.41% where it managed to break previous resistance, despite a reversal candle, and pushed higher reaching all time market high during the last trading days.
From a technical perspective, the almost sideways moves of the week give strong indecision of where the Index might be heading next.
The MACD, positive above 0, is indicating a positive momentum, however based on the numbers from Friday it may retrace to current support before further strong moves.
The RSI has been actually flat during the week, which raises doubts about the strength of the Index.
For the coming week, we have decided to have tight support and resistance levels that may helps us to anticipate market moves: a break below current support, would leading us to indicate 31,080 as intermediate target.
On the other side, if the index keeps moving sideways it could test current resistance level: a break above that level, would position the index to target 31,750 as next level.
Support at 31,251 and resistance at 31,600
OTB Global Investments
14 February 2021