Weekly market brief: 18 - 22 October 2021


Financial index

Current price

Forecast

S1

R1

S2

R2

​FTSE100

7.234

Consolidation

7.220

7.285

7.165

7.400

FTSEMIB

26.489

Consolidation

26.184

26.750

25.554

27.370

DAX 40

15.587

Consolidation

15.306

15.736

14.967

15.980

S&P 500

4.471

Consolidation

4.390

4.468

4.286

4.545

NASDAQ 100

15.147

Consolidation

14.775

15.152

14.552

15.702

DOW JONES

35.295

Consolidation

35.096

35.455

34.261

36.137

S: Support R: Resistance

FTSE 100 (#UKX)

The FTSE 100 ended the week up + 1.92%

For the week we expect a consolidation between 7,165 and 7,220


Indicators

The positive performance led the FTSE to the top of the parallel channel started in May 2021.

For the coming week we expect a slight retracement to the previous resistance level at 7,165 and then eventually move higher.

MACD crossed the 0 line confirming the momentum change (now upward) of the index.

RSI has reached a resistance area that could support the idea of a retracement: this would lead the index to consolidate and avoid overbought situations.

In addition, the distance from the 50MA could also support a retracement and consolidation.

The trend is bullish and a possible back-test at 7,165 would confirm this

Support for 7,220

Resistance at 7,285


FTSEMIB (#FTSEMIB)

The FTSEMIB had a week up + 1.84%

For the week we could see a consolidation between 26,600 and 26,184.


Indicators

The index has completed the ascending triangle that had been forming in the previous weeks.

For the week ahead, also given Friday's indecision candle, we could expect a slight retracement to the previous resistance area at 26.184 to eventually continue to the upside.

MACD, after crossing to the upside, is breaking above the 0 level confirming the change in momentum.

RSI is now at 60, a resistance level that has been respected few times.


A slight retracement would avoid overbought situations and make the bullish more natural.

Support for 26.184

Resistance at 26,750


DAX (#DAX)

The DAX ended the week up + 2.94%

For the week ahead, we expect consolidation between 15,450 and 15,600

Indicators

The German index managed to break the bearish trendline that started on September 6, 2021.

For the week we could expect a slight retracement to the intermediate resistance at 15,400-15,450 and then continue to the upside.


The MACD, despite an upward crossover, is still below 0 confirming a "bearish" momentum.

The RSI has almost reached the level of 60, a resistance that has been repeatedly respected in recent months.


In addition, the index closed just below the 50MA on Friday. This could lead to a consolidation in the below MA area and then break to the upside till 15,980

Support at 15,306

Resistance at 15,736


S&P500 (#SPX)

The S&P 500 had a week up by + 1.91%

For the coming week, the index could consolidate between 4,445 and 4,500


Indicators

The index managed to rise above the 50MA on Friday, which is certainly a positive aspect in the recovery of the SPX.

The MACD still remains below the 0 line in slight divergence with the price close above the 50MA.

RSI stands at nearly 60, a level that has often played the role of resistance.


For the coming week, we expect a slight consolidation and then continuation to the upside: a parallel phase would allow both the MACD to cross the 0 line and the RSI to retrace slightly and then break to the upside.


Support at 4.390

Resistance at 4.468


NASDAQ 100 (#NDX)

The NASDAQ ended the week up + 2.43%

For the week ahead, we expect a consolidation between 14,900 and 15,150 to then continue higher.


Indicators

The index has completed a "bull flag" formation confirming the resumption of bullish vigor. Given the coincidence with the 50MA, we could now expect a slight consolidation before proceeding to the upside.


MACD crossed to the upside but still remains below the 0 line

RSI has just crossed the 50 level, which could pave the way for a bullish recovery

We remain bullish on the Nasdaq but expect a slight consolidation given the strong candles of the last few days.

Support for 14.775

Resistance at 15,152


DOW JONES (#DJI)

DOW JONES had a week up + 1.54%

For the week ahead, we expect a consolidation between 34,900 and 35,300


Indicators

The exceeding of the 50MA is an positive confirmation of the bullish recovery of the index: given the strong moves, this week we could see a brief consolidation and then continue to rise.


MACD is gradually crossing the 0 line, confirming the recovery of the index

RSI is now at 61, which has often played the role of resistance.


We remain bullish on the Dow Jones, convinced that the index will soon record new highs, but in the short term we expect a slight consolidation / retracement in order to have an optimal entry range for long positions.

Support for 35,096

Resistance 35,455

OTB Global Investments

10 October 2021

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