Weekly market brief: 20 - 24 December 2021


Index

Current price

Forecast

S1

R1

S2

R2

​FTSE100

7.270

Cons./ Bullish

7.220

7.330

6.980

7.405

FTSEMIB

26.611

Cons./ Bullish

25.820

26.750

24.935

27.406

DAX 40

15.532

Cons./ Bullish

15.040

15.736

14.815

15.980

S&P 500

4.620

Consolidation

4.600

4.720

4.550

4.800

NASDAQ 100

15.801

Cons./ Bullish

15.700

16.450

15.180

16.770

DOW JONES

35.365

Consolidation

35.350

36.000

34.800

36.300

S: Support R: Resistance

FTSE 100 (#UKX)

The FTSE 100 ended the week down -0.34%

For the week we expect a bullish continuation to 7,330


Indicators

Fluctuating weekly led the FTSE100 to retest the intermediate support at 7,170 before reversing to the upside and ending the week above the 50MA.


MACD has crossed above 0 and seems to signal a change in the index's momentum.

RSI, after breaking the bearish trendline, this week performed a backtest and then reversed to the upside


Looking at the price action of the last few months, we can see a series of rising lows that began in September 2021 that could culminate in a continued bullish run for the end of the year.

The price appears to be supported also by the MACD and RSI indicators which have both reversed to the upside.


Support for 7,220

Resistance at 7,330


FTSEMIB (#FTSEMIB)

The FTSEMIB had a week down by -0.71%

For the week, we expect a bullish recovery to 27,000


Indicators

The price action of the last two weeks seems to want to form a "bull flag" which could soon break to the upside: extension of the flag could also coincide with the second resistance at 27.406.


MACD, despite a bearish week, is gradually proceeding to the upside

RSI, broadly flat and still at the level of 50


At the moment, the trend remains bullish also supported by what appears to be a continuation pattern.


Support at 25,820

Resistance at 26,750


DAX (#DAX)

The DAX ended the week down -0.68%

For the week ahead, we expect a possible upside to at least 15,736


Indicators

Despite a slightly bearish week, we see these swings as a possible consolidation before continuing to the upside.

The index managed to close the gap and is respecting the intermediate support at 15,420


Despite a negative week, MACD is gradually moving higher

RSI is now fluctuating just below the 50 level, a breakout of it could therefore support an upward push


The hammer candle formed on Friday and the respect of the intermediate support coupled with the MACD and RSI indicators lead us to be in favour of a bullish push for the week ahead.


Support for 15.040

Resistance at 15,736


S&P500 (#SPX)

The S&P 500 had a week down by -1.73%

For the coming week, the index could consolidate between 4,600 -4,680


Indicators

The American index continues to confirm the ascending triangle in place since October 2021 and the week just ended confirms the strong support and resistance levels: we deduce that a break of the two levels could then lead to strong fluctuations.


The primary trend remains bullish even though MACD and RSI are both reversing to the downside.

For the week ahead we expect an initial consolidation between 4,600 - 4,680 with a possible test of resistance at 4,720


Support for 4,600

Resistance at 4,720


NASDAQ 100 (#NDX)

The NASDAQ ended the week down -3.02%

For the week ahead, we expect a possible bullish recovery to 16,200


Indicators

The tech index continues its wide lateralization between 15,700 and 16,450 and in the short term, we could see a recovery of vigour at least up to the area of resistance.


MACD and RSI at the same time are indicating a fairly marked loss of strength: MACD is about to cross downwards the 0 line and the RSI is already below 50


The Friday candle can be identified as an "inverted hammer candle" and as an inversion candle, it will only give more information on the following day: a positive week opening could in fact lead the index to regain ground before the Christmas break.


In the very short term we remain bullish on the Nasdaq but believe there may be bearish pressure in early January.


Support at 15,700

Resistance at 16,450


DOW JONES (#DJI)

DOW JONES had a week down -1.49%

For the week ahead, we expect a consolidation at 35,350 - 36,000


Indicators

The index continues to respect the strong support area, which exceeding it would lead to a drop to at least 34,800.


MACD, after a recovery in strength, seems to want to cross again to the downside

RSI is now hovering around the 50 level


For the week ahead we will be looking at the breakout of one of the two levels (35,350 and 36,000) as an indicator of stronger swings in both directions.


Support for 35,350

Resistance 35,455

OTB Global Investments

19 December 2021

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